Progreso vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 1
PRO
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEN
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 3
HFC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 2
BOS
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
PLA
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 1
CSC
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |