Progreso vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 3
PEÑ
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ETS
2 - 2
PRO
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LFC
3 - 1
PRO
56%
23%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
MWA
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
LFC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MWA
3 - 3
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |