Progresista vs Colegio Hogar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 2
PRO
29%
21%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LTA
0 - 3
PRO
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
MON
77%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
PRO
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colegio Hogar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
MIG
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CHO
5 - 4
JUV
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
CHO
61%
19%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
LTA
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
CHO
31%
22%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |