Progresista vs Choco B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
PRO
71%
16%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 3
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 0
ATI
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
PRO
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
TYD
80%
12%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GON
1 - 6
CHO
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHO
4 - 0
GDM
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 4
CHO
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |