Progresista vs C Guillarei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 3
TEB
57%
21%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 4
PRO
34%
22%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 4
PRO
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 1
COV
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
C Guillarei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
4 - 0
OIE
28%
20%
52%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
5 - 1
GUI
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
GOI
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
OLI
75%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 3
TEB
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |