Progrès Niederkorn vs Käerjéng 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
13º
2º
25
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
F91
1 - 4
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
EIN
90%
8%
2%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 1
PRO
11%
16%
73%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 2
USM
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DIF
2 - 3
PRO
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Käerjéng 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KAE
1 - 4
JEU
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RUM
2 - 2
KAE
45%
22%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
KAE
2 - 3
SWI
10%
16%
74%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 0
KAE
45%
23%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
KAE
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |