Prisons XI vs Morupule Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
15º
14º
35
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
PRI
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
NIC
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 2
MAS
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 7
GAL
15%
17%
68%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAS
3 - 0
PRI
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morupule Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOW
2 - 0
NIC
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOW
2 - 2
SUA
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MOW
0 - 1
GAL
22%
19%
60%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 1
MOW
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 1
MOW
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |