Prison Service vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prison Service
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 2
PSE
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PSE
4 - 1
CEN
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
PSE
2 - 4
SAN
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
POI
2 - 2
PSE
84%
12%
4%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 1
PSE
86%
10%
3%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
POL
2 - 2
DEF
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
5 - 0
TFP
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 1
ATH
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
LHR
2 - 4
DEF
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 1
POI
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |