Principat vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
76.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PRI
2 - 3
LUS
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
LUS
1 - 3
PRI
44%
22%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRI
0 - 6
SJU
18%
20%
62%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SCO
0 - 0
PRI
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PRI
5 - 4
FCR
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SJU
5 - 0
INT
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRI
0 - 6
SJU
18%
20%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SJU
3 - 0
LUS
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
UEE
1 - 7
SJU
12%
19%
70%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SJU
3 - 0
UES
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |