Principat II vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Principat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCS
8 - 0
PRI
71%
16%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRI
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 2
LUS
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 5
QES
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SCO
6 - 0
PRI
67%
17%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
ATL
19%
18%
63%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UEE
6 - 1
PEN
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
SJU
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
PEN
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 4
LUS
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | -1 |