Primavera SP vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
PRI
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 2
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
PRI
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
PRI
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 3
ATI
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |