Primavera SP vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 5
PRI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
ATI
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 0
SJS
35%
27%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
PRI
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 1
VOT
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |