Preston North End vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
COL
2 - 2
PNE
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
PNE
3 - 0
BOU
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
BRO
0 - 1
PNE
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
PNE
2 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
MIL
0 - 2
PNE
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
BOU
4 - 2
NOT
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
NOT
1 - 1
GIL
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
STO
0 - 1
NOT
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
NOT
1 - 1
BOU
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |