Premier League Round 10

Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis

Preston North End Aston Villa
79 ELO 84
7.5% Tilt -10.5%
981º General ELO ranking 53º
35º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.4%
Preston North End
24.8%
Draw
28.9%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.9%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Preston North End
-10%
+4%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Preston North End
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
78%
13%
9%
78 84 6 0
02 Oct. 1920
PNE
Preston North End
2 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
52%
25%
23%
78 84 6 0
25 Sep. 1920
LIV
Liverpool
6 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
71%
17%
12%
79 83 4 -1
18 Sep. 1920
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
60%
23%
17%
78 82 4 +1
11 Sep. 1920
NEW
Newcastle
4 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
58%
23%
19%
79 81 2 -1

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
78%
13%
9%
84 78 6 0
02 Oct. 1920
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
42%
25%
33%
84 81 3 0
25 Sep. 1920
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
73%
16%
11%
84 82 2 0
18 Sep. 1920
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
44%
25%
31%
84 80 4 0
15 Sep. 1920
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
5 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
52%
23%
25%
84 83 1 0