Preah Vihear vs Nagaworld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preah Vihear
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
SRF
3 - 0
PVI
61%
19%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
SRE
11 - 0
PVI
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PVI
0 - 9
POL
13%
19%
69%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Nagaworld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
NWF
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SRE
0 - 4
NWF
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CTF
1 - 1
NWF
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UCM
1 - 3
NWF
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
NWF
16 - 1
KRA
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | -1 |