Potiguar Mossoró vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
POT
0 - 1
ABC
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
POT
0 - 1
ASS
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
POT
2 - 1
ARN
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 1
POT
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
POT
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
COR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
ABC
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
CCP
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |