Post vs Union Mauer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AUS
3 - 0
POS
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
POS
4 - 1
DON
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 3
POS
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
POS
1 - 3
WIE
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
POS
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mauer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
SIM
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 2
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |