Post vs ASV 13 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
POS
2 - 3
SIM
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ELE
1 - 1
POS
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POS
3 - 1
OST
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POS
1 - 0
FAV
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ASV 13
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ASV
1 - 2
FAV
33%
22%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SCW
5 - 0
ASV
82%
11%
6%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 1
GER
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 4
AUS
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |