Portuguesa FC vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 2
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TAC
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
MIN
13%
22%
65%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LLA
4 - 1
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
ARA
22%
29%
49%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LLA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
TUC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
MIR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
TUC
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 2
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |