Tercera Division IV - Basque Country Round 4

Portugalete vs CD Basconia analysis

Portugalete CD Basconia
37 ELO 25
-18.8% Tilt -2.8%
4915º General ELO ranking 4760º
164º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Portugalete
19%
Draw
11.6%
CD Basconia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
Portugalete
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.6%
Win probability
CD Basconia
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugalete
-10%
+81%
CD Basconia

ELO progression

Portugalete
CD Basconia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugalete
Portugalete
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2018
SAN
San Ignacio
1 - 1
Portugalete
POR
16%
20%
64%
39 23 16 0
02 Sep. 2018
POR
Portugalete
3 - 0
Pasaia KE
PAS
74%
17%
9%
39 23 16 0
25 Aug. 2018
ORD
Ordizia KE
0 - 5
Portugalete
POR
16%
20%
64%
38 22 16 +1
24 Jun. 2018
CAS
CD Castellón
1 - 0
Portugalete
POR
55%
24%
21%
40 45 5 -2
17 Jun. 2018
POR
Portugalete
1 - 1
CD Castellón
CAS
33%
28%
40%
39 45 6 +1

Matches

CD Basconia
CD Basconia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2018
BAS
CD Basconia
0 - 1
Sestao River
SES
36%
25%
39%
26 37 11 0
02 Sep. 2018
JUV
JD Somorrostro
2 - 1
CD Basconia
BAS
57%
21%
22%
27 29 2 -1
26 Aug. 2018
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 2
Deusto
DEU
50%
23%
27%
27 30 3 0
18 Aug. 2018
BAS
CD Basconia
0 - 1
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
20%
23%
57%
27 50 23 0
12 May. 2018
AMU
Amurrio
0 - 3
CD Basconia
BAS
42%
25%
34%
26 25 1 +1