Portugalete vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 1
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
UCD
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 3
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
POR
6 - 0
TOL
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
AMU
1 - 2
AUR
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
AMU
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AMU
0 - 0
BEA
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 1
AMU
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AMU
3 - 0
DEU
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |