Portugal U20 vs England U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PRT
1 - 2
DEU
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 1
ROU
49%
23%
29%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
POL
4 - 0
PRT
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
CZE
3 - 0
PRT
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
PRT
1 - 1
ROU
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ROU
2 - 0
ENG
12%
17%
71%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
IRQ
0 - 0
ENG
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
URY
2 - 3
ENG
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
TUN
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |