Portugal U20 vs Países Bajos U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
NED
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
NZL
81%
15%
5%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
QAT
0 - 4
POR
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Países Bajos U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
NED
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CZE
2 - 2
NED
56%
22%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NED
1 - 0
TUR
48%
23%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 1
NED
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
3 - 1
NED
15%
20%
66%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |