Portugal U19 vs Croacia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2006 |
ISR
1 - 0
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
RUS
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
POR
5 - 1
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
ISR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Croacia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
MKD
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
CRO
0 - 0
BGR
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
ISL
2 - 3
CRO
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
CRO
5 - 0
BIH
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
CRO
2 - 0
NED
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |