Portsmouth vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
OPA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 0
OPA
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
OPA
1 - 4
OXF
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
OPA
0 - 2
RAY
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
STF
3 - 2
OPA
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
GUL
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
WOL
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
WYC
1 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
GUL
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |