Série D Brazil Final Stages Last 16
Global 3-3
Porto Velho vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Velho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TDC
0 - 2
POR
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
SDJ
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CSE
2 - 1
ITA
34%
29%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |