Porto Cruz vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 3
CAN
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PON
3 - 2
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
1MA
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
CAL
36%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
12%
19%
70%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |