Porto 2005 vs Gonzaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
79%
13%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
NUO
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
VIG
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
POR
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gonzaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GON
2 - 3
SPO
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 1
GON
35%
24%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GON
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAG
1 - 1
GON
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GON
0 - 1
GHE
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |