Porthmadog vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 0
POR
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
POR
2 - 2
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 1
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
TNS
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 0
CWM
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 0
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |