Porthmadog vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
FLI
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
QPA
0 - 6
POR
14%
16%
69%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FLI
2 - 0
POR
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 0
POR
53%
21%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
HOL
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 3
DEN
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
0 - 2
GUI
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 2
HOL
14%
19%
66%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |