Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 3
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
HAV
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 2
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
TNS
1 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
POR
5 - 1
CEF
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
5 - 1
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 0
CEF
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |