Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 2
POR
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
POR
2 - 2
TNS
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
RHY
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
LLA
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 3
BAN
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CEF
3 - 0
CWM
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 2
CAE
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |