Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
TNS
7 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
ABE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
ABE
4 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
WEL
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
POR
3 - 1
AIR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 1
CEF
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 0
AIR
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 0
CWM
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |