Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
CON
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 2
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LID
1 - 1
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
CEF
2 - 1
WEL
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LLA
1 - 4
CEF
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 5
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CAE
3 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |