Port Melbourne Sharks vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PLI
5 - 0
POR
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
POR
0 - 2
STA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
21%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
0 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 3
OAK
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AVH
1 - 1
DAN
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
HEU
2 - 0
DAN
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
DAN
6 - 0
ALM
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |