Poros vs Aris Petroupolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
12º
36
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AAP
1 - 1
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
ETH
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ANK
2 - 0
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
5 - 1
AGI
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
AAO
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FOS
1 - 0
ASP
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 1
AOT
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 2
ASP
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AAP
2 - 0
ASP
86%
10%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |