Pontypridd United vs STM Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HAV
3 - 0
PON
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PON
6 - 3
GOY
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
PON
16%
19%
65%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PON
3 - 1
HAV
32%
22%
46%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
STM Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
STM
1 - 2
HAV
29%
22%
49%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
STM
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STM
5 - 2
LID
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
STM
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 4
STM
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |