Pontivy vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
LES
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PON
3 - 2
AVR
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEH
2 - 0
PON
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PON
0 - 3
SAI
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAU
1 - 1
PON
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
STA
4 - 0
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
LUC
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LES
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
LEH
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |