Pontivy vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 1
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
LAV
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
PON
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LES
1 - 1
PON
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
FON
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
LES
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FON
0 - 1
CON
59%
25%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 3
ROM
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
LOR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |