FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 4-3
Pontefract Collieries vs Charnock Richard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
PON
40%
22%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
OUF
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 2
PON
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PON
1 - 1
CON
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 3
PON
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
PON
40%
22%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
CHA
43%
22%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHA
24%
20%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 5
CHA
24%
20%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
ASH
61%
18%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |