Pontefract Collieries vs AFC Mansfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
TAD
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
PON
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PON
2 - 0
STO
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -3 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
5 - 3
PON
26%
20%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
STA
45%
22%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 3
BEL
59%
19%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KET
2 - 1
MAN
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STO
2 - 1
MAN
48%
21%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |