Pontedera vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
SAL
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
PON
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
USP
60%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
PON
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
FON
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 5
LAQ
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
USP
4 - 3
BOR
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
BOR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |