Segunda RFEF - Relegation Playoff Final
Global 1-0
Ourense CF vs Beasain KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 0
OUR
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
OUR
1 - 1
LAR
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
OUR
70%
18%
11%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OUR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 3
OUR
70%
20%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 0
OUR
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BEA
2 - 1
TUD
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
BEA
63%
23%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SES
2 - 0
BEA
70%
20%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BEA
3 - 2
GER
32%
26%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |