Ponte da Barca vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte da Barca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 0
PON
83%
13%
4%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 0
PON
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
MLI
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
PER
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 4
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PRA
4 - 0
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
4 - 2
VAL
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |