Ponte Carreira vs Sobrado Xuventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
-94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Carreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EST
2 - 2
PCA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
PCA
1 - 2
RDS
57%
19%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
3 - 3
PCA
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PCA
1 - 3
ARA
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VOR
2 - 3
PCA
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sobrado Xuventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SXU
1 - 3
EST
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
RDS
3 - 1
SXU
46%
20%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SXU
2 - 4
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SDV
1 - 1
SXU
61%
19%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 0
SXU
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |