Pontardawe Town vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
16º
9º
38
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TAF
4 - 1
PON
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
BAR
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
YAF
0 - 2
PON
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
8 - 0
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PON
4 - 2
ABE
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 3
CWM
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 3
CAM
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 2
CWM
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LID
5 - 2
CWM
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
CWM
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |