Ponferradina vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
PON
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
EIB
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 2
PON
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 1
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 2
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
RJA
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
MLL
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 2
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
0 - 1
RMC
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |