Ponferradina vs Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 0
PON
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PON
5 - 1
PON
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
PON
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RUN
0 - 0
PON
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PON
2 - 0
CDG
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 3
CDG
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
RSO
0 - 0
RAC
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 2
SES
35%
28%
36%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 0
RAC
53%
26%
22%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
ZAM
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |