Ponferradina vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAL
2 - 0
PON
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PON
0 - 1
DEP
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
VAL
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
SEG
0 - 1
PON
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
COX
1 - 0
PON
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 0
COX
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAJ
2 - 1
NAV
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 1
RMC
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RCF
0 - 1
NAV
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
SSR
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |