Pombal vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
POM
3 - 1
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
POM
19%
21%
59%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
POM
3 - 2
OLI
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 4
POM
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 3
CAL
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
COI
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
1 - 1
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |